Netherlands starts as favorite against Morocco in World Cup

Netherlands starts as favorite against Morocco in the World Cup 2026 knockout stage. According to Opta, Netherlands has a 47.6 percent chance of winning. Morocco has a 25 percent chance. The match will be played on 29 June, locally possibly 30 June, at the Estadio BBVA in Monterrey, Mexico.

Why is Netherlands favorite?

Netherlands has a strong performance in the group stage with ten goals in three matches. The team of Ronald Koeman played 2-2 against Japan and won 5-1 against Sweden and 3-1 against Tunisia. Brian Brobbey is the top scorer with three goals. Cody Gakpo and Crysencio Summerville scored two goals each.

What can Morocco expect?

Morocco has also had a strong performance in the group stage with six goals. Ismael Saibari was the standout player with three goals in all three group stage matches. Morocco reached the knockout stage without a loss.

What comes next?

Netherlands has a good chance of winning, but Morocco cannot be ignored. The history speaks slightly in favor of Netherlands, but Morocco has shown in recent years that it can hurt big football nations. Last result: Netherlands 1-1 Morocco (2026-06-30). Recent form (last 5): 4W-1D-0L (DWWWW, most recent first); unbeaten in the last 5. Next fixture: vs Germany (at home, 2026-09-24).